Monday, January 17, 2011

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The Middle East is in turmoil


Our Tg in these days have been invaded by the news of the revolt that toppled the regime in Tunisia's Ben Ali. The revolt was actually playing bass and protest against the rising costs of bread, but of course most of the political and military riding the wave of protest to be able to overthrow the satrap and yet France has not been watching, on the other hand is know, not a leaf stirs in North Africa that Paris does not want. North Africa is certainly more stable than the rest of the continent, North Africa because the regimes in the last 20-30 years. The dynamics of the revolution / coup Tunisian fits perfectly into the North African tradition. A satrap seized power, the maintained for twenty years and then was deposed and replaced by another satrap, and so on. Be clear, do not cry tears for Ben Ali, typical of the corrupt satrap (it seems that the wife has run off swells of gold bullion). It is clear that in that part of the world the way things work. His testimony, however, may cause several problems especially to Italy and not underestimate the risk of contagion that could expand like riots "/ coups in neighboring areas. Already there is unrest in Algeria, Libya and Jordan, the southern part Sudan, black, animist and Christian is going to separate from the northern Arab, Islamic and genocidal, while the Copts in Egypt as die flies. The whole area is in turmoil and it could also have consequences for us. In fact, these tensions will inevitably produce refugees who try to land in Europe in general and the country closer to North Africa, Italy, in particular. Refugees, however, difficult to Italy and Europe will be able to accommodate. Cuts in government spending and employment crisis make it extremely difficult to accommodate large numbers of refugees in Europe. If the revolt espandesse to Libya and Algeria would be affected the policies of energy independence of the Italian government and the contacts made with Libya and Algeria ENI and Enel. Bouteflika if Gaddafi and the late Ben Ali did nothing assures us possible substitutes that are equally well disposed towards Italy. Do not underestimate the possible Islamist revolution. In Tunisia, the Islamic fundamentalism has never had much space (at least so far) in Algeria and Egypt, but instead find training Islamist-rooted and dangerous as the Islamic Salvation Front and the Muslim Brotherhood. In the case of "contagion" nothing prevents you from thinking that these formations could take over. Finally we think the arrangements that the Italian government has tightened control of migration flows from North Africa Seize executive agreements, which could jump. In short, we pay close attention to the situation in the Middle East because the matter could have many reflections on us.

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